GAMbIT’s Oscar nomination predictions

With the Golden Globes in the books (and The Irishman egregiously robbed), it’s now time for the reason of the season: the Academy Awards. 2019 was a stellar year for movies, and I’m still catching up myself. That being said, here are GAMbIT’s (mostly) informed guesses who we’ll see nominated come January 13.

BEST PICTURE

The Sure Things

The Irishman

Marriage Story

Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood

Parasite

Little Women

The Probable or Possible

Uncut Gems

1917

The Farewell

Portrait of a Lady on Fire

Joker

Bombshell

The Two Popes

A Hidden Life

The Long Shots

Ad Astra

Us

The Report

Knives Out

BEST DIRECTOR

The Sure Things

Martin Scorsese, The Irishman

Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood

Greta Gerwig, Little Women

Bong Joon-ho, Parasite

Sam Mendes, 1917

The Probable or Possible

Lulu Wang, The Farewell

Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story

Josh and Benny Safdie, Uncut Gems

Celine Sciamma, Portrait of a Lady on Fire

The Long Shots

Joanna Hogg, The Souvenir

Jordan Peele, Us

James Gray, Ad Astra

Fernando Mereilles, The Two Popes

Terrance Malick, A Hidden Life

BEST ACTOR

The Sure Things

Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood

Adam Sandler, Uncut Gems

Adam Driver, Marriage Story

Joaquin Phoenix, Joker

Taron Egerton, Rocketman

The Probable or Possible

Eddie Murphy, Dolemite is My Name

Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes

Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory

The Long Shots

Mark Ruffalo, Dark Waters

Brad Pitt, Ad Astra

Paul Walter Hauser, Richard Jewell

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

The Sure Things

Joe Pesci, The Irishman

Al Pacino, The Irishman

Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood

Kong Sang-ho, Parasite

Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes

The Probable or Possible

Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

Timothee Chalamet, Little Women

Sam Rockwell, Richard Jewell

The Long Shots

Shia LaBeouf, Honey Boy

Willem Dafoe, The Lighthouse

BEST ACTRESS

The Sure Things

Renee Zellweger, Judy

Awkwafina, The Farewell

Lupita Nyong’o, Us

Saoirse Ronan, Little Women

Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story

The Probable or Possible

Cynthia Erivo, Harriett

Florence Pugh, Midsommar

Charlize Theron, Bombshell

The Long Shots

Julianne Moore, Gloria Bell

Elisabeth Moss, Her Smell

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

The Sure Things

Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers

Laura Dern, Marriage Story (or Little Women)

Shuzhen Zhao, The Farewell

Margot Robbie, Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood

Florence Pugh, Little Women

The Probable or Possible

Meryl Streep, Little Women

Tilda Swinton, The Souvenir

Nicole Kidman, Bombshell

Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell

The Long Shots

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Anna Paquin, The Irishman

Annette Bening, The Report

BEST SCREENPLAY (ORIGINAL)

The Sure Things

Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood

Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story

Bong Joon-ho and Jin Won Han, Parasite

Lulu Wang, The Farwell

Josh Safdie and Ronald Bronstein, Uncut Gems

The Probable or Possible

Pedro Almodovar, Pain and Glory

Ari Aster, Midsommar

Rian Johnson, Knives Out

Jordan Peele, Us

Scott Z. Burns, The Report

The Long Shots

Alex Ross Perry, Her Smell

Shia LaBeouf, Honey Boy

Joanna Hogg, The Souvenir

Robert Eggers, The Lighthouse

BEST SCREENPLAY (ADAPTED)

The Sure Things

Steven Zaillian, The Irishman

Greta Gerwig, Little Women

Lorene Scafaria, Hustlers

Matthew Carnahan and Mario Correra, Dark Waters

Micah Fitzerman-Blue and Noah Harpster, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

The Probable and Possible

Julian Fellowes, Downton Abbey

Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit

Todd Phillips and Scott Silver, Joker

The Long Shots

Jeffrey Hatcher, The Good Liar

Sebastian Lelio, Gloria Bell

And here are some various predictions in other categories:

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Apollo II

Honeyland

Cunningham

An American Factory

One Child Nation

Rolling Thunder Revue

BEST DIGITAL EFFECTS

The Irishman

Gemini Man

Ad Astra

Avengers: Endgame

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Godzilla: King of the Monsters

The Lion King

ORIGINAL SCORE

Randy Newman, Marriage Story

John Williams, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Alexandre Desplat, Little Women

Hildur Gildnandottir, Joker

Alex Weston, The Farewell

Jaeil Jung, Parasite

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Toy Story 4

I Lost My Body

How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World

Frozen II

Missing Link

The Lion King

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Parasite (South Korea)

Les Miserables (France)

Atlantics (Senegal)

Synonyms (Israel)

Pain and Glory (Spain)

Portrait of a Lady on Fire (France)

Diamantino (Portugal)

I might be hedging my bets with the sheer volume of suggestions I’ve made here, but, as always, I am completely convinced that I am right. We’ll see more when the actual nominations are released on January 22.

About Author

T. Dawson

Trevor Dawson is the Executive Editor of GAMbIT Magazine. He is a musician, an award-winning short story author, and a big fan of scotch. His work has appeared in Statement, Levels Below, Robbed of Sleep vols. 3 and 4, Amygdala, Mosaic, and Mangrove. Trevor lives in Denver, CO.

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