With the Golden Globes in the books (and The Irishman egregiously robbed), it’s now time for the reason of the season: the Academy Awards. 2019 was a stellar year for movies, and I’m still catching up myself. That being said, here are GAMbIT’s (mostly) informed guesses who we’ll see nominated come January 13.
BEST PICTURE
The Sure Things
The Irishman
Marriage Story
Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood
Parasite
Little Women
The Probable or Possible
Uncut Gems
1917
The Farewell
Portrait of a Lady on Fire
Joker
Bombshell
The Two Popes
A Hidden Life
The Long Shots
Ad Astra
Us
The Report
Knives Out
BEST DIRECTOR
The Sure Things
Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood
Greta Gerwig, Little Women
Bong Joon-ho, Parasite
Sam Mendes, 1917
The Probable or Possible
Lulu Wang, The Farewell
Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story
Josh and Benny Safdie, Uncut Gems
Celine Sciamma, Portrait of a Lady on Fire
The Long Shots
Joanna Hogg, The Souvenir
Jordan Peele, Us
James Gray, Ad Astra
Fernando Mereilles, The Two Popes
Terrance Malick, A Hidden Life
BEST ACTOR
The Sure Things
Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood
Adam Sandler, Uncut Gems
Adam Driver, Marriage Story
Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Taron Egerton, Rocketman
The Probable or Possible
Eddie Murphy, Dolemite is My Name
Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes
Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
The Long Shots
Mark Ruffalo, Dark Waters
Brad Pitt, Ad Astra
Paul Walter Hauser, Richard Jewell
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
The Sure Things
Joe Pesci, The Irishman
Al Pacino, The Irishman
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood
Kong Sang-ho, Parasite
Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
The Probable or Possible
Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Timothee Chalamet, Little Women
Sam Rockwell, Richard Jewell
The Long Shots
Shia LaBeouf, Honey Boy
Willem Dafoe, The Lighthouse
BEST ACTRESS
The Sure Things
Renee Zellweger, Judy
Awkwafina, The Farewell
Lupita Nyong’o, Us
Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
The Probable or Possible
Cynthia Erivo, Harriett
Florence Pugh, Midsommar
Charlize Theron, Bombshell
The Long Shots
Julianne Moore, Gloria Bell
Elisabeth Moss, Her Smell
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
The Sure Things
Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers
Laura Dern, Marriage Story (or Little Women)
Shuzhen Zhao, The Farewell
Margot Robbie, Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood
Florence Pugh, Little Women
The Probable or Possible
Meryl Streep, Little Women
Tilda Swinton, The Souvenir
Nicole Kidman, Bombshell
Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell
The Long Shots
Anna Paquin, The Irishman
Annette Bening, The Report
BEST SCREENPLAY (ORIGINAL)
The Sure Things
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story
Bong Joon-ho and Jin Won Han, Parasite
Lulu Wang, The Farwell
Josh Safdie and Ronald Bronstein, Uncut Gems
The Probable or Possible
Pedro Almodovar, Pain and Glory
Ari Aster, Midsommar
Rian Johnson, Knives Out
Jordan Peele, Us
Scott Z. Burns, The Report
The Long Shots
Alex Ross Perry, Her Smell
Shia LaBeouf, Honey Boy
Joanna Hogg, The Souvenir
Robert Eggers, The Lighthouse
BEST SCREENPLAY (ADAPTED)
The Sure Things
Steven Zaillian, The Irishman
Greta Gerwig, Little Women
Lorene Scafaria, Hustlers
Matthew Carnahan and Mario Correra, Dark Waters
Micah Fitzerman-Blue and Noah Harpster, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
The Probable and Possible
Julian Fellowes, Downton Abbey
Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit
Todd Phillips and Scott Silver, Joker
The Long Shots
Jeffrey Hatcher, The Good Liar
Sebastian Lelio, Gloria Bell
And here are some various predictions in other categories:
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Apollo II
Honeyland
Cunningham
An American Factory
One Child Nation
Rolling Thunder Revue
BEST DIGITAL EFFECTS
The Irishman
Gemini Man
Ad Astra
Avengers: Endgame
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Godzilla: King of the Monsters
The Lion King
ORIGINAL SCORE
Randy Newman, Marriage Story
John Williams, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Alexandre Desplat, Little Women
Hildur Gildnandottir, Joker
Alex Weston, The Farewell
Jaeil Jung, Parasite
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Toy Story 4
I Lost My Body
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
Frozen II
Missing Link
The Lion King
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Parasite (South Korea)
Les Miserables (France)
Atlantics (Senegal)
Synonyms (Israel)
Pain and Glory (Spain)
Portrait of a Lady on Fire (France)
Diamantino (Portugal)
I might be hedging my bets with the sheer volume of suggestions I’ve made here, but, as always, I am completely convinced that I am right. We’ll see more when the actual nominations are released on January 22.